Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Twist & Turn of the Stock Market


The stock market sometimes moves in mysterious ways, and there are those who would tell you the exact cause of every twist and turn. Here's a more likely explanation - and the reason why it probably doesn't matter. (Find more videos on our YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/tryonite.)
1 - In case we needed another example of the futility of predicting market performance, the Dow posted its best 3-day gain of the year last week. Where did that come from? Both This Week's Economic News (below) and This Week's Video (above) attempt to explain the unexplainable.

2 - Despite what the markets might be saying, Europe is still in dire fiscal straits. Depending on whom you listen to, we could eventually see (a) a Greek exit from the eurozone, (b) a complete breakup of the euro, (c) a surviving but somewhat changed eurozone, or (d) a smaller fiscal union anchored by Germany, France, Italy and Spain. But knowing that we really can't tell what might happen, perhaps we should add (d) none of the above. 

3 - Reminder to clients: In case you have yet to complete our technology survey, please CLICK HERE to do so. 

 Have an unpredictably fun week!

 ~Andy

DOW LOGS BEST 3 DAYS OF THE YEAR

How could that happen with such negative indicators? Two words: renewed hope. Thursday, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi said the ECB would do whatever is needed to save the euro; Friday, Draghi was reportedly talking with Germany's central bank about coordinated sovereign debt purchases. So the Dow (+1.97% to 13,075.66), NASDAQ (+1.12% to 2,958.09) and S&P 500 (+1.71% to 1,385.97) all did well last week. COMEX gold rose 2.22% last week to end Friday at $1,618.00; oil settled at $90.13 Friday, as prices slipped 1.85% across five days.1,4,6

% CHANGE
Y-T-D
1-YR CHG
5-YR AVG
10-YR AVG
DJIA
+7.02
+6.28
-0.29
+5.82
NASDAQ
+13.55
+6.99
+3.09
+13.44
S&P 500
+10.21
+6.21
-1.00
+6.25
REAL YIELD
7/27 RATE
1 YR AGO
5 YRS AGO
10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS
-0.61%
0.56%
2.48%
3.10%
  Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov - 7/27/124,7,8,9
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly.

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